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Multiplier Effect


  • In a recession (or recessionary gap) the government should use
    expansionary
    fiscal policy which means
    lower
    taxes and/or
    higher
    government spending. This would cause Aggregate
    Demand
    to shift
    right

  • In an economic boom (or inflationary gap) the inflation rate usually goes higher so the government should use
    contractionary
    fiscal policy which means
    higher
    taxes and/or
    lower
    government spending. This would cause Aggregate Demand to shift
    left
  • Multiplier effect - the additional shifts in aggregate demand that result when expansionary fiscal policy increases income and thereby increases consumer spending. Example: Let's say government spending increases by $5 million on roads and bridges, now that the construction workers income increases, they spend an extra $5 million on consumption so the AD will shift right by
    $10
    million.
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Multiplier Equations

  • Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) - the proportion you will spend on consumption for every extra dollar earned in income.
  • Marginal Propensity to Import (MPI or MPM or m) - the proportion you will spend on imports for every extra dollar earned in income.
  • Tax Rate (t) - the proportion of every dollar earned in income that is paid in taxes.

Spending Multiplier=1(1  (MPC (1t)MPI))Spending\ Multiplier=\frac{1}{\left(1\ -\ (MPC\ (1 - t) -MPI\right))}


Example: If the MPC is 0.6 and MPI is 0.1 then the multiplier would be
2
. This means for every 1 dollar increase in government spending, the total spending would increase by 2 dollars. So if government spending increased by $30 million the total spending would increase by
$60
million.

  • The bigger the MPC or the smaller the MPI (MPM) the
    bigger
    the spending multiplier. If there was a closed economy the multiplier would be
    bigger
    than what it would be with an open economy.


Government Spending Multiplier = Change in Equilibrium GDPChange in Government SpendingGovernment\ Spending\ Multiplier\ =\ \frac{Change\ in\ Equilibrium\ GDP}{Change\ in\ Government\ Spending}