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Expected Return

An expected return is the estimated future return on investment based on probabilities. It is found using the following formula:

Variance and Standard Deviation

The variance and standard deviations are used to quantify risk. The more a stock can deviate from its expected return, the less predictable (and riskier) it is.

Variance


Standard Deviation

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Example: Expected Return and Standard Deviation

Suppose you are given the following information for two stocks, A and B, where the return on each varies with the state of the economy.

Estimate the expected return and standard deviation for each stock.
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Practice: Expected Return and Standard Deviation

Compute the expected return and standard deviation for each of the following 2 stocks.